{"id":1701,"date":"2024-12-11T13:55:02","date_gmt":"2024-12-11T18:55:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thetimesfinancial.com\/?p=1701"},"modified":"2024-12-11T13:55:04","modified_gmt":"2024-12-11T18:55:04","slug":"chinas-trade-weakens-amid-looming-u-s-tariff-risks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thetimesfinancial.com\/?p=1701","title":{"rendered":"China&#8217;s Trade Weakens Amid Looming U.S. Tariff Risks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>China&#8217;s exports grew 6.7% in November, sharply down from October&#8217;s 12.7%, while imports unexpectedly contracted by 3.9%, marking their worst performance in nine months. These figures raise concerns about the health of the world&#8217;s second-largest economy, particularly as President-elect Donald Trump&#8217;s impending return to the White House signals fresh trade risks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fresh Tariff Threats from Trump Administration<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump has pledged additional tariffs on Chinese goods, ranging from 10% to over 60%, to pressure Beijing on issues like fentanyl trafficking. These threats have rattled China&#8217;s industrial sector, which exports over $400 billion annually to the U.S. Early signs of exporters rushing to frontload goods to the U.S. in anticipation of these tariffs emerged in October and November, but a full impact is expected in the coming months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Policy Shifts to Support Domestic Demand<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>China\u2019s policymakers have vowed to ramp up stimulus in 2025, emphasizing accommodative monetary and fiscal policies. Economists are calling for a pivot from an over-reliance on manufacturing and exports to bolstering domestic consumer demand, as unresolved trade tensions with both the U.S. and the European Union threaten growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trade Surplus Grows Amid Global Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the challenges, China&#8217;s trade surplus expanded to $97.44 billion in November, up from $95.72 billion in October. Analysts expect further export acceleration in the coming months due to competitive gains and exporters continuing to frontload goods ahead of potential tariffs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Commodities and Domestic Market Prospects<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Imports of commodities like vegetable oils, rare earths, and fertilizers fell, driven partly by lower global prices. However, volumes increased for crude oil, coal, and copper. Analysts anticipate a recovery in imports fueled by expanded fiscal expenditure and investment-focused policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Calls for Economic Diversification<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Analysts recommend maintaining China&#8217;s growth target at around 5% for 2025 while leaning on the country&#8217;s vast domestic consumer market to mitigate external risks. Policymakers are expected to set key economic targets for the coming year during meetings this week, signaling a potential prioritization of the consumer sector over export-driven manufacturing.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China&#8217;s exports grew 6.7% in November, sharply down from October&#8217;s 12.7%, while imports unexpectedly contracted by 3.9%, marking their worst performance in nine months. These figures raise concerns about the health of the world&#8217;s second-largest economy, particularly as President-elect Donald Trump&#8217;s impending return to the White House signals fresh trade risks. Fresh Tariff Threats from [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10772,"featured_media":1702,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[717,714,720,716,722,721,715,723,575,718],"class_list":{"0":"post-1701","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business","8":"tag-china-economic-stimulus","9":"tag-china-trade-slowdown","10":"tag-domestic-consumption","11":"tag-export-competitiveness","12":"tag-global-trade-risks","13":"tag-imports-shrink","14":"tag-november-exports","15":"tag-trade-surplus","16":"tag-trump-tariffs","17":"tag-u-s-china-trade-war"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thetimesfinancial.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1701","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thetimesfinancial.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thetimesfinancial.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thetimesfinancial.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/10772"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thetimesfinancial.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1701"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thetimesfinancial.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1701\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1703,"href":"https:\/\/thetimesfinancial.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1701\/revisions\/1703"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thetimesfinancial.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1702"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thetimesfinancial.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1701"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thetimesfinancial.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1701"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thetimesfinancial.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1701"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}